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In the words of Baldrick........."I have a cunning plan"

 

In reality the average new share market participant is a guy called  Mr Punter who, tired from driving 20K to save 50c a kilo on lamb chops, pops into his local pub for a quick middy . There he meets a certain cab driver..... We shall call the cab driver Pink Fluffy Bunny to avoid getting sued. PFB, as he is known to his mates, knows someone who knows a driller who is working on an exploration site for Dodgy Resources Dot Com Pty Ltd. Guess what...touch nose quiet East London Pommie voice ..."they've found more gold than you would find at a rappers conference..........dead set". But for reasons he can't mention it won't be announced till next week. (Rule1)

 

Mr. Punter tries to look cool says a quick goodbye and jumps into his car. The one he did 2 months of research on, read every car mag, waited till Christmas Eve to buy and played all the dealers off against each other to get an amazing price on. Drives back home.... the one he carefully bought just before the area took off. Boy is he excited. (Rule9)

 

Mr. Punter has been thinking of doing shares for a long time...he has some AMP got them free....bloody things were $20... $6 now so can't sell them till they get back to $20.....useless bastards!  (Rule6)  (Rule10)

 

Mr. Punter fills out his online broker application form, waits an agonizing few days till his account is set up and watches as Dodgy Mining, which was 2c six months ago, climbs to 7c then 8c then 9c. It's going up, there are a huge number of trades it must be good. On the day his account is ready the share jumps on open to 12c. There are only ten sellers left (Rule7)t his thing must be going to a dollar minimum. Mr. Punters not gonna miss out (Rule9)he buys at market gets some at 13c and some at 13.5 but phew got them just in time.  And as it's a dead cert, after all he has inside info, got all $50,000 his entire trading capital on the winner. (Rule5)

 

Ok the plot is about as easy to guess as an episode of The Bill so you know what happens next.  

 

Out of nowhere big sell orders come in and the price is back to 11c where it closes. Next few days it goes back to 9c but Mr. Punter's got balls it will be ok when the announcement comes out.(Rule6) Next few days it creeps back up to 11c but there are lots of sellers....they must be nuts selling before the announcement. (Rule8)There are lots of traders on the chat site saying Dodgy Mining got to be worth 30c minimum(Rule4)  (Rule3)....all seem to write with a slight East London pommie accent.

 

The day arrives.... stock halted.... announces promising intersections and grams per tonne stuff...got to be good...............AAAAAAHHHHHH in come the sellers and all those big bids for 100,000 vanish in a puff of smoke (Rule7) and by afternoon the stock is at 6c. Mr. Punter can't sell (Rule6) he'd do $25,000 down the dunny, the Mrs. would take the bread knife to him for sure. So he hangs on for a couple of months  as Dodgy Mining wobbles down to 4c then 3.5c. It has a bit of a run up to 6c  but Mr. Punter hangs on  (Rule10)...after all he needs 13c. 18 months later it sits back at 2c, where it first came from its been there for a year now. Mr. Punter just looks occasionally cos it hurts to look. That time it was 6c...would take that now after all $20,000 is $20,000.

Simple rules to stop you being Mr Punter 
 
For detailed stuff on money management and stop loss go to the links on the right. This is "how not to do your bollocks on shares" for dummies.
 
  1. 99.99% of inside information and tips are rumour that a thousand other people know about or are straight up lies.
  2. 0.01% of inside information is true. But get real, nobody's gonna be telling you about it are they. If they did, and you use it, you could go to jail.
  3. Madcow's Rule........ Tips are tops
  4. Always do your own research....You spend 3 days on the net before you buy a toaster and then buy $50,000 worth of shares cos the bloke in the pub said they were good...DOH!
  5. Don't risk all your capital on one trade.
  6. Always have a stop loss. Never lose more than 1% of your capital on one trade.
  7. Don't trust market depth......it is an auction....auctions have dummy bidders.  
  8. The market is always right do not think you know better.
  9. There is no place for greed, fear and emotion in trading you need to be datached and analytical.
  10. Abandon hope all ye who trade. The moment you start to rely on hope is the time to get out.

 
Simple Trading Plan Rules
 
 
 
 
Getting Started.....know thy self and thy plan
a good read from full time trader Wayne Lawrence
 
 
 
This is not a casino....Why ameteurs lose
a good read from full time trader Wayne Lawrence
 

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Madcow's Traders Bookshop. All the books you can read on

 

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Madcow

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